Germany's parliament building, the Reichstag, in Berlin. Photo: CLEW
Dossier
Collapse of Scholz's coalition leaves unfinished policy business

Vote25: 2030 climate and energy targets hinge on next German government

The collapse of chancellor Olaf Scholz's coalition government will result in snap elections in early 2025. Climate and energy policy played a major role in the coalition break-up, and many decisions key for reaching binding 2030 climate targets are in limbo. Putting the country on track for its numerous emissions cutting and energy transition ambitions until the end of the decade will be the task of the next government. This dossier provides background on the coalition government's collapse, the parties' plans for the upcoming snap election, and tracks related developments in Germany and abroad. [UPDATE Adds first entry Vote25 interview series]

Q&A: What does the German coalition government break-up mean for climate and energy?

Germany's coalition government under Olaf Scholz has come to an early end – on the day Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential election. The chancellor sacked his finance minister after long internal disputes over the right way forward on economic recovery and the energy transition. The break-up now leaves the country with a host of unfinished policy proposals that risk grinding to a halt until a snap election is held and a new government is sworn in next year. This includes urgent matters such as Germany's 2025 budget, without which many climate, energy, and industry support programmes could be left hanging in the balance for months, unless a minority government manages to forge new majorities in parliament. Read the factsheet here.

Coalition collapse: Tracking the path to Germany's snap elections

Image: Adobe.

Germany's coalition government collapsed due to internal disputes over budget and economic policy in November 2024. The country now gears up for snap elections in early 2025, against the backdrop of a flagging economy, the war in Ukraine, and the looming second Trump presidency in the U.S.

This article tracks the latest developments on the road to a new government.

Reactions from energy and climate community to collapse of Germany’s coalition government

Following the break-up of Germany's governing coalition, the country's energy industry urged rapid snap elections to give companies much-needed investment security in uncertain times. Youth climate movement Fridays for Future announced nationwide demonstrations to ensure climate topics are central to election campaigns. Read the article here.

The road to a new coalition government in Germany

Germany looks to be heading for snap elections in early 2025 after chancellor Olaf Scholz's coalition government broke up on 6 November 2024, following months of dispute among the parties. Under normal circumstances, Germans elect a new parliament every four years, and the requirements to initiate an early election are high. Neither the chancellor nor the parliament itself has the power to do this unilaterally, and the process consists of several steps. Eventually, a government is formed after the new federal parliament decides on a chancellor, but the laborious process to negotiate a coalition can last for months after an election.

This factsheet provides a brief overview of the path to the next German government.

Vote25 - CLEW interview series

In the run-up to the snap election on 23 February, Clean Energy Wire interviews key actors in the German climate and energy debate to find out about their expectations regarding the vote as well as other events coming up in 2025. New entries will be made regularly throughout the next weeks.

Next German gov’t must tap into renewables’ potential for ‘Dunkelflaute’ backup capacities - BEE

The collapsed coalition of chancellor Olaf Scholz achieved a few important breakthroughs for Germany’s energy transition that should not be sacrificed for point-scoring in election campaigns, says Wolfram Axthelm from the Renewable Energy Federation (BEE). The renewable power industry lobby group’s managing director argues that worries over electricity supply security in Germany are unfounded even if the coalition’s break-up prevented the adoption of key regulation and warns that developments at the EU level and in the U.S. must not be overlooked in the run-up to Germany’s snap elections. Read the interview here.

All texts created by the Clean Energy Wire are available under a “Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence (CC BY 4.0)” . They can be copied, shared and made publicly accessible by users so long as they give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made.
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